4.+PREDICTIONS

Top 25 Technology Predictions

By Dave Evans, Chief Futurist, Cisco IBSG Innovations Practice 1. **By 2029, 11 petabytes of storage will be available for $100—equivalent to 600+** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)
 * years of continuous, 24-hour-per-day, DVD-quality video.**

2**. In the next 10 years, we will see a 20-time increase in home networking speeds.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

3. **By 2013, wireless network traffic will reach 400 petabytes a month. Today, the entire** Genachowski)
 * global network transfers 9 exabytes per month.** (Source: FCC Head Julius

4. **By the end of 2010, there will be a billion transistors per human—each costing one** (Sources: Intel Corporation; Cisco IBSG, 2006-2009; IBM)
 * ten-millionth of a cent.**

5. **The Internet will evolve to perform instantaneous communication, regardless of**
 * distance.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

6. **The first commercial quantum computer will be available by mid-2020**. (Source:Cisco IBSG, 2009)

7**. By 2020, a $1,000 personal computer will have the raw processing power of a** University, 1998; Cisco IBSG, 2006-2009)
 * human brain.** (Sources: Hans Moravec, Robotics Institute, Carnegie Mellon

8. **By 2030, it will take a village of human brains to match a $1,000 computer.** (Sources: Hans Moravec, Robotics Institute, Carnegie Mellon University, 1998; Cisco IBSG, 2006-2009)

9. **By 2050 (assuming a global population of 9 billion), $1,000 worth of computing** Moravec, Robotics Institute, Carnegie Mellon University, 1998; Cisco IBSG, 2006- 2009)
 * power will equal the processing power of all human brains on earth.** (Sources: Hans

10. **Today, we know 5 percent of what we will know in 50 years. In other words, in 50**
 * years, 95 percent of what we will know will have been discovered in the past 50**
 * years.**

11. **The world’s data will increase sixfold in each of the next two years, while corporate**
 * data will grow fiftyfold.** (Source: Technorati)

12. **By 2015, Google will index approximately 775 billion pages of content.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009) Cisco IBSG Copyright © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Page 2 Point of View

13. **By 2015, we will create the equivalent of 92.5 million Libraries of Congress in one**
 * year.** (Source: www.humanproductivitylab.com)

14. **By 2020 worldwide, the average person will maintain 130 terabytes of personal data**
 * (today it is ~128 gigabytes)**. (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

15. **By 2015, movie downloads and peer-to-peer file sharing will explode to 100** (Source: www.humanproductivitylab.com)
 * exabytes, equivalent to 5 million Libraries of Congress.**

16. **By 2015, video calling will be pervasive, generating 400 exabytes of data—the** (Source: www.humanproductivitylab.com)
 * equivalent of 20 million Libraries of Congress.**

17. **By 2015, the phone, web, email, photos, and music will explode to generate 50**
 * exabytes of data. (**Source: www.humanproductivitylab.com)

18. **Within two years, information on the Internet will double every 11 hours.** (Sources: University of California at Berkeley School of Information Management and Systems; IBM)

19. **By 2010, 35 billion devices will be connected to the Internet (nearly six devices per**
 * person on the planet).** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

20. **By 2020, there will be more devices than people online.**

21. **With IPv6, there will be enough addresses for every star in the known universe to**
 * have 4.8 trillion addresses.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

22. **By 2020, universal language translation will be commonplace in every device.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

23. I**n the next five years, any surface will become a display.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

24. **By 2025, teleportation at the particle level will begin to occur.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)

25. **By 2030, artificial implants for the brain will take place.** (Source: Cisco IBSG, 2009)